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新型电力系统供需协同全要素理论框架

All-Factor Theoretical Framework for Supply-Demand Synergy in New-Type Power Systems

  • 摘要: 构建以新能源为主体的新型电力系统,是实现“双碳”战略目标的关键路径。“十四五”以来,中国电力系统在电源结构、电网形态和技术基础等方面正经历深刻变革,提升新形势下电力供需协同能力迫在眉睫。面向新型电力系统,定义供需协同的基本概念与内涵并系统梳理亟须提升供需协同能力的典型场景;分别从政策、市场、技术等方面,深入剖析影响供需协同的全要素影响因素与内在作用机理;从空间、时间、资源、形态等多重视角深入解构与认知,创新性构建全要素供需协同理论框架模型,旨在为新型电力系统的创新升级提供坚实的理论支撑,助力其高质量发展蓝图的有效绘制。

     

    Abstract: Building a new-type power system dominated by new energy sources is a critical pathway towards achieving China's "Dual Carbon" strategic goals. Since the inception of the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, China's power system has undergone profound transformations in its generation mix, grid configuration, and technological foundation, making the enhancement of power supply-demand synergy capability under these new circumstances an urgent imperative. Focusing on the new-type power system, this study firstly defines the fundamental concept and connotation of the supply-demand synergy and systematically identifies the critical scenarios that require enhanced synergy. Then, the study conducts an in-depth analysis of all the factors influencing supply-demand synergy and their underlying mechanisms from perspective such as policy, market, technology, etc. Finally, on the basis of an in-depth deconstruction from multiple perspectives such as space, time, resource, and form, this study innovatively constructs a theoretical framework model for the synergy of supply-demand across all factor to provide a solid theoretical foundation for the innovative upgrading of the new-type power system, and to contribute to the effective planning of its high-quality development blueprintt.

     

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