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适应新型电力系统的电网基建功能化投资结构演化研究

Evolution of Functional Investment Structure of Power Grid Infrastructure Suitable for New Power System

  • 摘要: 构建新型电力系统不仅是物理形态的变革,更是生产组织关系的变革,伴随着大量的投资,如何保证投资效率将是构建新型电力系统的关键问题之一。当前,电网侧、电源侧、负荷侧形态发生了巨大变化,从功能化视角厘清投资结构变化是当前发现投资变化规律、引导资金高效投资、发现和改善电网基础建设投资效率的关键,尤其要发现功能化投资结构演变的规律。首先,通过系统动力学模型识别影响电网基建投资的关键因素,进一步研究各因素间的相互联系、相互影响和动态变化关系;在此基础上,系统仿真在关键情景下电网基建投资结构中各投资功能的演化趋势,为企业中长期电网投资决策提供建议和数据支撑,并推动电网基础设施优化升级,高质量构建新型电力系统。

     

    Abstract: The construction of new power systems involves the change in both physical form and production organization relationships. With a large amount of investment, how to ensure investment efficiency will be one of the key problems in the construction of new power systems. At present, great changes have taken place in the form of the power grid side, power supply side, and load side. Clarifying the change in investment structure from the perspective of functionalization is the key to discovering the change law of investment, guiding the efficient investment of funds, exploring and improving the investment efficiency of power grid infrastructure, especially unveiling the evolution law of functional investment structure. First of all, the key factors affecting the power grid infrastructure investment were identified through the system dynamics model, and the interrelation, mutual influence, and dynamic change relationship among the factors were further studied. On this basis, the system simulated the evolution trend of each investment function in the power grid infrastructure investment structure under key scenarios, so as to provide suggestions and data support for the medium-term and long-term power grid investment decision-making of enterprises, promote the optimization and upgrading of power grid infrastructure, and build new power systems with higher quality.

     

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